Showing posts with label Stats Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stats Analysis. Show all posts

Monday, August 27, 2012

Stats Analysis: (Surprise Role Player?)



The surprise player is.... (drum roll..) Kent Bazemore! Many don't think of him as much, but he started in place of Klay Thompson and did so well, that the Warriors decided to sign him, in addition to re-signing Rush. After this happened, I knew the Warriors were destined to make the playoffs. I have a feeling that Bazemore won't disappoint us eager fans. He will come off the bench, looking to create for himself, and earn himself more playing time. With his length, he will blossom into a great NBA player..

Points: Although Bazmore won't get much playing time at all, towards the start of the season, he will still be efficient enough to put some points on the scoreboard. I'm not certain Jackson will see his potential and play him more, but his season average should lie at around 4.7 PPG.

Assists: Bazmore isn't the type of guy you should rely on giving a lot of assists. Rather, you should rely on him putting the ball on the floor, and taking it to the basket. He must never pass up the open jump shot, as his long arms enable him to shoot over taller defenders. Bazemore will average only around 1.2 Assists per game, maybe even less.

Rebounds: With the length that Bazemore has, he should be a Kevin Durant type player. Except nowhere close to Durant's level of skill, of course. Bazemore shouldn't be waiting for the fast break, he should be the one to initiate it. Matched up with other guards his height, he can rebounds better because of his wingspan. Bazemore will average 4-5 Rebounds per game.

Blocks: Blocks for a guard? That's preposterous! Actually, Bazemore is a fairly good blocker for his height. He proved so in a summer league game where it was impossible to get a shot over his head. He had 11 blocks. Bazemore will average 1.3 Blocks per game.

 I may be too excited about Bazemore's playing style, but these stats are always dependent on minutes.. Remember that.

Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Stats Analysis: Draymond Green



After the NBA draft, analyzers concluded that Draymond Green has the potential to take the NBA by storm and end up being the rookie of the year. He may just be the steal of the draft, they said. While that's most likely not going to be true, Green will still be a contributor on each aspect of the floor for the Warriors: Defensively, Offensively, and other positions that the Warriors are weak in.

Points: Green isn't the best offensive player, but hopefully he's adjusted to the NBA three point line, as he missed a lot during the summer league. What the Warriors need is a solid guy, who is consistent and gives you tough play every night. Green will be that guy, averaging about 8.3 PPG, while occasionally breaking out.

Assists: Although Green is listed as a SF, he will likely be playing PF. Then again, he is flexible to even play SG, because of his passing ability. This was an advantage of drafting Draymond Green. He's an all-around player. Green should average around 3.9 Assists per game.

Rebounds: Green was the all-time leading rebounder for Michigan. If he can bring that aspect of the game to the Warriors, they'll be golden. As long as he provides his defensive intensity, then he will be as useful as any other reserve. It's tough to go up against a bulky 6'7 player for the rebound. Green should average 7.2 Rebounds steadily.

Those are the three main parts of the game that Green should be able to help with. He should be able to collect some steals (1.0) and force some really bad shots, but there's no stat to keep track of that. The Warriors have a solid and deep roster this year. Get ready, they're coming.

Stats Analysis: Carl Landry



Carl Landry is that lovable guy we picked up. He's the one that we were after this offseason, the one who asked for a longer contract. That's great and all, but there are many parts of his game where he is lacking. For all that the Warriors need in him, there's a lot that he lacks to have a complete game.

Points: Landry is a decently efficient scorer. He may be arrogant, but he sure knows how to back it up when he's trash talking. He's that type of tough player the Warriors need in their lineup. He won't be able to produce his numbers of 12.9 PPG last year, but he will be an efficient player that the Warriors aren't looking for much out of. He will average around 8.9 PPG, while occasionally breaking 10 points.

Blocks: Instead of assists, Landry does the dirty, tough, and hard work in the paint. He blocks the ball, and send his guards on their way to easy fast breaks. This shows that he has high basketball IQ. That, combined with ability to predict how a defender will shoot, is the ultimate combination. Landry will average around 0.7 Blocks per game.

Rebounds: Size, size, size. As long as you are of adequate size, there's no excuse for a 6'3 guard sneaking up on you and grabbing the ball right from your hands for the rebound. Landry won't be a huge rebounder, but he will be on the floor a lot. He will contribute in as many ways as possible. Landry will average around 5.7 Rebounds per game.

Turnovers: Uh oh! Landry knows what he's doing most times, but occasionally, he'll make a stupid pass, stay in the key longer than three seconds, or just pummel into a defender looking to take the charge. These are the kind of turnovers that the Warriors can't afford to make. Since he will be playing on the floor with Lee, there's more room to do such things. Landry will unfortunately average around 2 turnovers, hopefully less.

Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Stats Analysis: Richard Jefferson



"Jefferson puts it up for the win!" 5 years ago, it wasn't uncommon for Nets fans to be at the edge of their seats because Richard Jefferson had led their team to an incredible victory. Now he's just a washed up all-star who's still looking for his first ring. Can he get it with the Warriors? Or will he just retire without one like many other great players who couldn't catch a break? Predicting RJ's stats as probably backup PF.

Points: RJ is a prolific scorer who can really get it going from the three point range. He can do it easily, and is still very capable of putting up big numbers. On some nights, he may actually be the leading scorer for the Warriors. RJ has what it takes and knows that for him, the time is now: it's do or die. Jefferson will average around 9.1 PPG, while breaking out often.

Assists: Jefferson isn't the type of guy who has court vision. He won't be the passer. His game is only 2-D: either he will spot up for the three point shot, or take it straight to the basket. Driving may open up some opportunities for him. He will average around 2.3 Assists per game.

Rebounds: Since Jefferson will likely be guarding some of the bigger players, he is likely to do his role and box out. This means that he will get plenty of rebounds: he should be able to start the break and get some extra points for the Warriors out of hard work. Jefferson will average around 4.5 Rebounds per game, which is excellent considering his age.

Turnovers: Jefferson is a good, solid veteran who knows what he's doing. He shouldn't and won't be the cause of too many turnovers. He will average less than 1.

Stats Analysis: Brandon Rush



Brandon Rush gave us all quite a scare when he was thinking about actually playing for the Lakers. In the end, however, Bob Myers did a terrific job of getting Rush and Landry, the two players that we were going after all along this off season. Rush is a great young player, who plays good defense, has hops, and is unbelievable behind the three point line. He will be a serious scoring threat off the bench, or maybe even starting on the court for the Warriors.

Points: Rush is capable of averaging double digits, but since he's on an amazing team that are all capable of averaging digits, he won't. He'll be a role player that breaks out twice in 5 games. With his incredible shooting, it's hard not to. Rush should average around 9.7 PPG. Close.

Assists: Rush isn't much of a passer. He catches the ball, shoots, or recognizes what his defender is doing, and drives to the basket. He knows what he's doing, and how to handle tough situations. Luckily, he doesn't need to be a facilitator. Rush will average around 2.3 Assists per game.

Rebounds: As states many times before in my other articles, Rush has incredible hops. He dunks over defenders easily, so he should be able to rebound easily. His bulky exterior makes it easy for him to jump high and grab the ball, as well as blocking out his defenders. Rush should average around 5 rebounds per game.

3 PT %: This is a new one. Usually Rush shoots the three that gets everyone out of their seats. For a while in the beginning of the season, he rarely missed. This surprised me. I was even more surprised when I found out that he wasn't going to the three point contest. Rush will definitely see the basket wide open. I predict he will average around 46% on threes.

Turnovers: With the style of play that Rush has, he doesn't turn the ball over much, but then again, TO's are hard to predict.

Monday, August 20, 2012

Stats Analysis: Jarrett Jack (Funny Video)



Jarrett Jack will likely be playing PG most of the season due to injury for Stephen Curry, or just because Stephen Curry is lighting it up from three point range. The Warriors give a little and got a lot. When trading Dorell Wright, they got an experienced PG who averaged well over 10 PPG, has court vision, and a high basketball IQ. The lineups and possibilities are endless.

Points: Jack isn't a natural scorer, he's more of a facilitator. He still knows where he needs to be and at the right time as well. This is why the points come to him naturally. He can hit the spot up three, or take the ball through an open lane to the basket. Jarrett Jack is likely to float around 11.2 PPG this season. Mentally, Jarrett Jack know what to do.. FUNNY VIDEO

Assists: I predicted that Jack would be the leader in assists. Mainly because he's passing the ball to Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, David Lee, and Brandon Rush. Those aren't even the only guys who can score on the team. Jack has the eye for the play too, as he will be able to slip it into Bogut for an easy basket at the rim. Jack will average around 6.7 Assists per game.

Rebounds: Again, it isn't really a PG's job to secure a rebound. But when you're a smart PG like CP3, or Russell Westbrook, the ball comes right into your hands off a missed shot. Its about positioning. Jack will average around 3.4 Rebounds per game.

Steals: He may not have the quickest hands, or the longest arms, but Jack does have the ability to get into the passing lane, or strip a center from behind. Again, for a PG, it's all about positioning. Jack should average at least 0.8 steals per game. At least.

Turnovers: PG's are usually the cause of many turnovers. Hopefully, as far along as Jack is in his career, he won't end up turning the ball over that much. He's an experienced veteran who knows what he's doing, and can predict how other players will react to a certain pass that he makes. Jack will only average around 1 TO per game.

Sunday, August 19, 2012

Stats Analysis: Andrew Bogut



Andrew Bogut is that kind of likeable guy. He is likely to become the fan favorite. The big thing that all Warrior fans are concerned with is Bogut's health. And if he will fill the shoes of the team leader along with Curry. If Bogut doesn't produce the numbers that the Warriors expected from him, then the Monta Ellis trade would have gone to waste. With Bogut nearing full rehabilitation, he knows that he has to step up and fill up the stat sheet. For these reasons, he should definitely be one of the premier scorers.

Points: Bogut is a strong offensive weapon that needs to be used. He's a big strong guy at 260 lbs, and has the ability to post up and destroy defenders on the block. He can also matchup against the NBA's best centers. Bogut should and will average around 16.3 PPG. That's not too much to expect out of him, considering all the hype that surrounds him.

Assists: Again, big men don't need to do that kind of job. He does, however have a high enough basketball IQ to see a situation in which his teammates are in a better position to score. Just like David Lee. With the shooting talent on the floor, Bogut's kickouts are bound to get him some assists. Bogut will average around 3.4 Assists per game.

Rebounds: Bogut goes hard in the paint. This is why he's an excellent rebounder. Many don't agree that Bogut will be much use on the glass, but he does rebound the ball. His defensive skill and intensity is underrated for his size. Bogut must average around 10.2 Rebounds per game.

Turnovers: Bogut won't be the cause of many turnovers, unless he commits an offensive foul, which is likely. Otherwise, I don't see him turning the ball over much. Bogut will average 1 turnover at most.

Blocks: For every center, a new stat must be put it. Blocks of course. The center's primary job is to defend the rim and rebound the ball. Bogut can do both of these: just with the size that he has, offensive players on the drive will be intimidated and perhaps be forced into a turnover or an ugly shot. Bogut will average 0.9-1.1 Blocks per game. This one is hard to predict.

Saturday, August 18, 2012

Stats Analysis: David Lee



David Lee is going to have huge success this year. I think that in his veteran career so far, he is tired of having so many consecutive seasons without playing a single playoff game. Now, with new hope on the Warriors, Lee will play better, as he will be more motivated. If Lee continues his outstanding numbers, then the Warriors will for sure make the playoffs.

Points: Lee is a strong scorer: He can make the jumpshot, drive to the basket and kick out, and finish at the rim. These are all the things that coaches like in their PF's. The only weak part of his offensive game are three pointers, but come on, he's a PF. I predict Lee will average around 18.2 PPG. Those are excellent numbers.

Assists: He is one of the better passers among big men in the NBA. Lee has the vision to see cutting teammates, or foresee a scenario in which one of his teammates is in a better position to score than he is. Lee will average around 3.6 Assists per game.

Rebounds: Last season, Lee did an excellent job of imitating Kevin Love with a double double streak. Lee was pulling all the balls off the glass defensively. He was doing so well that he gained some recognition from it. Whenever a player on the opposing team shot the ball, Lee was at the basket. Lee will average at least 9.7 Rebounds per game.

Steals: The big men on most rosters don't often come up with many steals, but Lee's basketball IQ is so high that he may just average 0.5 steals per game.

Turnovers: As said before, Lee has a very high basketball IQ. He has the ability to analyze a situation and look at his best options: all in less than 24 seconds. Lee won't be the cause of many turnovers. He is likely to average less than 1.

Thursday, August 16, 2012

Stats Analysis: Klay Thompson



Klay Thompson is that rookie that we all loved. Now, he's a more mature sophomore player. Many say that fans are expecting too much out of the youngling, but I think he is more than capable of filling most of the gap in scoring that Monta Ellis left. The Warriors are lucky to have drafted him with the 11th pick. His sophomore year is only going to be better.

Points: Klay Thompson is a pure scorer and an incredible shooter. He knows where his place is. I think that he will be creating more this year on his way to the basket. Because of this, his offensive game will open up more, and defenders will not only have to honor him at the 3 point line, but also heading to the basket. I predict Thompson will average around 17.3 PPG.

Assists: Klay wasn't known as much of an assist guy last season, but often, he did end up having 7 or 8 assists. That could easily be an average with the shooting skill of players on the Warriors' roster, but it's not likely. He will only average around 2.6 Assists per game.

Rebounds: Standing at 6'7, Thompson is more than adequate to play the SG position. He's a tough player, and should be getting a lot of rebounds. Other shooting guards in the league like Dwyane Wade and Kobe Bryant are shorter than Klay. He doesn't have incredible hops, but he should still be active on the glass. I predict he will average around 4.6 Rebounds per game.

Steals: Thompson is a good perimeter defender, as well as on the post. He doesn't have quick hands, but he plays smartly on the defensive end. That's probably going to get him some steals. I project his averages to be at about 0.8 or 0.9.

Turnovers: A catch and shoot player like Thompson doesn't turn the ball over a lot. He may, however, begin to turn the ball over more on the inside if he begins driving. It'll be a good thing that he gets to the basket and scores, but also a bad thing as he could turn the ball over a lot. Because of this, and rookie mistakes, I think he'll be at about 3 TO's per game, which is terrible.

On an unrelated note, the Warriors will be able to rely on Thompson for 48 minutes. Although he's only a rookie, LeBron and Kobe have both developed respect for him. That proves something. After a Vegas match between Team USA, and the Rookie Team, Klay Thompson was covered in welts and sweat. That's what a guy who never gives up looks like.

Stats Analysis: Stephen Curry



The main guy, the stud, the star, the all-star. These are a couple of words that ALL Warrior fans have to call Stephen Curry. Although tragically plagued by injury, Curry has an incredible amount of potential, and will be an NBA all-star this year. Curry will be the Warriors go-to scorer. He's also a great PG. Will he be the leading scorer for the Warriors?

Curry plays defense pretty well, shoots the ball at an amazing speed and makes it, and also fills up the stat sheet every night that he's healthy. Projecting Stephen Curry's averages for 2012-2013.

Points: Curry is a pure scorer, and he will end up playing at the 2 guard a lot, with the addition of Jarrett Jack. He will spread the floor, and make his open shots, while also fearlessly driving on shot blockers like Dwight Howard. Curry, if healthy, will average around 15.8 PPG. I know, that's a pretty big 'if'.

Assists: While also being efficient, Curry has great court vision and isn't selfish. He won't lead the team with assists, but he'll do a nice job with getting other scorers going. With other shooters like Harrison Barnes, Klay Thompson, Jarrett Jack, and Brandon Rush, Curry shouldn't have a problem getting the assists. He will average 6 Assists per game.

Rebounds: I know it's not a guard's job to rebound the ball, rather to sprint the floor and get an easy layup. Good PG's like Chris Paul, Steve Nash, and even Jarrett Jack do get triple doubles, however. That's because they know where to be at the right time. He could potentially average 4 Rebounds per game. Then again, I may be getting ahead of myself here.

Steals: Like all good PG's Steph has good vision, timing, and guile. He can sneak up behind centers posting up, and steal the ball from them. He can also get into the passing lanes well. It's not easy to fill up the stat sheet with steals, however, so I project that he will average 1 steal per game.

Turnovers: This is a big one. Most guards turn the ball over a lot because they are the ones who have to handle. Sometimes, a player just loses focus: he throws it away, travels with the ball, smashes into another player, or fails to glance at the shot clock. Curry, although young, doesn't do many of these too often, so he may average about 2 TO's a game..




 
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